Service Plays Friday 08/07/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

FRIDAY, AUGUST 7


NATIONAL LEAGUE


Florida (55-53) at Philadelphia (61-45)



Red-hot Joe Blanton (7-5, 4.02 ERA) leads the defending World Series champion Phillies in the opener of a three-game set at Citizens Bank Park against the Marlins, who will hand the ball to Ricky Nolasco (7-7, 5.00).



Philadelphia halted a 1-5 slide by winning two in a row against Colorado the past two days, including Thursday’s 3-1 victory in which Cliff Lee made his home debut with the Phils by throwing seven innings of one-run ball. Despite their recent skid, the Phillies remain one of baseball’s hottest teams, as they are on runs of 22-8 overall, 16-4 at home, 6-0 against N.L. East foes and 7-3 in series openers.



Florida arrives in Philadelphia after getting swept in three games on the road by the dismal Nationals, who have the worst record in the majors. On Thursday, the Marlins jumped out to a 6-0 lead after two innings, then gave it all away and then some in a 12-8 loss, allowing the last four runs in the game-deciding eighth inning. Florida is on skids of 2-7 in division play and 3-9 on Fridays, but they’ve won four of their last five series openers.



Philly swept a three-game set at Florida last month and is 7-2 against the Marlins this season, with all but one of those wins coming on the road. The Phils are on a 9-2 overall run in this rivalry, though the Marlins have won four of the last five clashes in Philadelphia, including two of three in a May series. In fact, the visitor has won 10 of the last 11 between these squads.



The Phillies had won four in a row behind Blanton before Saturday’s road matchup against reigning Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum and the Giants. Blanton threw a solid seven innings, allowing both runs on seven hits, with no walks and five strikeouts, but he took the loss in a 2-0 setback. The right-hander has a 1.47 ERA over his past five outings.



Blanton is 4-2 with a 4.04 ERA in 11 home starts this year, and he’s won all three of his career starts against the Marlins while posting a 3.18 ERA. With Blanton throwing, the Phils are on rolls of 4-0 at home, 8-2 in series openers and 11-4 against division opponents.



The Marlins have won three in a row and eight of 10 backing Nolasco, including Sunday’s 3-2 home victory over the Cubs, with the 26-year-old allowing one run on four hits in seven innings, walking one and striking out eight. Nolasco is 3-4 with a 6.17 ERA in 10 road starts this season, and he’s 4-3 with a 4.47 ERA in 10 career appearances (seven starts) against Philadelphia. Florida is on runs behind Nolasco of 19-7 in series openers and 4-1 against winning teams.



For Philadelphia, the “under” is on tears of 10-1 on Friday, 6-1 in N.L. East action, 5-1-1 with Blanton starting and 6-2 behind Blanton at home. The under is also 7-2 in Nolasco’s last nine starts, and in this rivalry, the total has stayed low in five of the last six meetings overall. However, the over for Florida is on rolls of 6-2 overall, 5-0 in N.L. East play and 7-2 in Nolasco’s last nine road starts.



ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA





AMERICAN LEAGUE



Boston (62-45) at N.Y. Yankees (66-42)



The Yankees trot out A.J. Burnett (10-5, 3.89 ERA) to face Josh Beckett (13-4, 3.27) and the Red Sox in an A.L. East battle of right-handers for Game 2 of a four-game series in the Bronx.



New York ended a nine-game losing streak to their hated rivals on Thursday and did so in emphatic fashion, scoring eight runs in the fourth inning on the way to a 13-6 victory. The Yankees are on positive runs of 28-10 overall, 8-1 versus the A.L. East, 44-18 at home and 19-8 against winning teams. Joe Girardi’s team has a 3½-game lead over Boston in the A.L. East.



Boston has now lost three in a row and is on a 3-8 road skid, but remains on upswings of 27-13 in division play and 33-16 in series openers. And along with their 9-1 run against New York, the Sox are still 4-2 in their last six games at Yankee Stadium (2-1 this year). In addition, Boston is 7-1 in Beckett’s last eight starts against the Yanks and 4-1 in his last five outings at Yankee Stadium.



The Yankees ripped off six straight wins behind Burnett before the righty got shelled last Saturday against the White Sox, giving up seven runs on 10 hits and two walks in just 4 2/3 innings of a 14-4 road loss. Burnet is 4-1 with a 3.68 ERA in 10 home starts this season, and he’s 5-1 with a 3.80 ERA in 10 career starts against Boston, though New York has lost both of his starts this season against the Sox, with the 32-year-old giving up 13 runs (11 earned) in 7 2/3 innings for a 12.91 ERA.



The Red Sox are 7-1 in Beckett’s last eight starts, including a 4-0 win at Baltimore on Sunday in which he threw seven innings of shutout ball, allowing six hits with two walks and five strikeouts. Beckett is 6-4 with a 3.93 ERA in 11 road starts this year, and he’s 9-4 in 15 career regular-season starts against New York, despite a 5.42 ERA. The Sox have won all three of his starts against the Yanks this season despite Beckett’s 5.82 ERA



With Burnett on the hill, New York is on surges of 5-0 at home and 6-1 when facing winning teams. Meanwhile, with Beckett toeing the slab, Boston is on rolls of 17-5 overall, 5-0 in the division and 7-2 on the highway.



The over is on overall runs of 5-0-1 for New York and 8-2 for Boston. Conversely, the under for the Yanks is on stretches of 7-3-1 at home, 6-2 overall behind Burnett and 6-2 with Burnett starting at Yankee Stadium, and the under for the Red Sox is on upswings of 4-2 against winning teams, 8-4 on the road and 4-1 behind Beckett.



Finally, despite last night’s slugfest, the under is 6-3-2 in the last 11 meetings in this rivalry.



ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

 

[motor87]

axiumsports

August 7th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1,669.36

Pick #14-Germany- Bundesliga 2
14)Bet 21.53 to win 20.51 on Rot-Weiss Oberhausen/Union Berlin UNDER 2.5 -105

Pick #15- Germany-Regionalliga West Soccer
15a)Bet 21.80 to win 20.57 on SV Elversberg/FC Saarbrucken UNDER 2.5 -106

15b)Bet 45.21 to win 42.65 on SV Elversberg/FC Saarbrucken UNDER 2.5 -106

Pick #16- MLB-
16aa)Bet 22.06 to win 21.21 on Florida Marlins/Philadelphia OVER 9 -104
16ab)Bet 45.78 to win 44.02 on Florida Marlins/Philadelphia OVER 9 -104

16ba)Bet 21.81 to win 20.97 on Florida Marlins/Philadelphia OVER 9 -104
16bb)Bet 94.94 to wni 91.29 on Florida Marlins/Philadelphia OVER 9 -104

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL

Toronto at Montreal
The Argonauts look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games in Week 6. Toronto is the pick (+13 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+13 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 7

Game 401-402: Toronto at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.391; Montreal 120.352
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 10; 54
Vegas Line: Montreal by 13 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+13 1/2); Over

Game 403-404: Saskatchewan at BC
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 105.965; BC 113.429
Dunkel Line: BC by 7 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: BC by 1; 59
Dunkel Pick: BC (-1); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Canadian Bacon

Friday, August 7

Toronto Argonauts at Montreal Alouettes (-14, 51.5)

Matchup trends and stats

The Alouettes (4-1) offense was slowed down last week in Edmonton leading to the club’s first loss of the campaign. Some were wondering if Montreal would lose a game after the way it came out on fire. After four consecutive weeks of generating 400-plus yards, the Als were kept to only 331 last week.

Defense is the Argos’ (2-3) saving grace this summer. Toronto’s D will need to cause a few turnovers to try and keep this one close. The turnover margin was the difference in the Argos’ loss the Blue Bombers last week.

Pick: Alouettes


Saskatchewan Roughriders at B.C. Lions (-1, 58.5)

Matchup trends and stats

Everyone knew coming into the season the Lions (1-4) would be behind the eight ball because of a series of injuries. But nobody expected Wally Buono’s team to find so many ways to beat itself. The Lions have been guilty of poor discipline, careless turnovers, sloppy run defense and a lack of imagination in the opponents’ red zone.

Is this team as bad as its 1-4 record suggests? I don’t think so.

But the Roughriders (3-2) did win in their last 10 trips to Vancouver and, strangely, have been more successful on the road so far this season. It should be a close one but this time the home team should prevail.

Pick: Lions

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 7, 2009

Hondo bounced back from Wednesday's double downer, scoring easily with the Yanks last night to slash the deficit to 450 dragos.

Tonight, he's figuring on Bannister to help the Royals slide past the A's. Ten units.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Phillies Thursday.

Today it's the Twins. The surplus is 925 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR FRIDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


ST. LOUIS (CARPENTER) -240 (1)

Pittsburgh (Maholm)



Cleveland (Sowers)

WHITE SOX (BUEHRLE) -200 (2)



Baltimore (Berken)

TORONTO (ROMERO) -165 (3)



RUN TOTALS

Tampa Bay / Seattle UNDER 8

Texas / Angels OVER 9

Oakland / Kansas City UNDER 9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
52-29 run on Bonus Plays

FRi over 9 1/2 Texas Rangers game over the total

 

[Yanks]

Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

St. Louis at Pittsburgh

The Pirates look to take advantage of a St. Louis team that has dropped 5 of its last 8 on the road when the total is 7 or less. Pittsburgh is the pick (+220) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+220). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 7

Game 901-902: Florida at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.929; Philadelphia (Blanton) 16.450
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-150); Over
Game 903-904: St. Louis at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 13.884; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.456
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-250); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+220); Over
Game 905-906: Arizona at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Garland) 16.255; Washington (Balester) 15.716
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105); Over
Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Villanueva) 14.211; Houston (Norris) 15.357
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-130); Over
Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 15.225; Colorado (Jimenez) 14.933
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+120); Under
Game 911-912: NY Mets at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Perez) 14.262; San Diego (Correia) 14.921
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Diego (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-135); Over
Game 913-914: Atlanta at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.116; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.380
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-135); Over
Game 915-916: Cincinnati at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 13.522; San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.514
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-300); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-300); Under
Game 917-918: Boston at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 16.267; NY Yankees (Burnett) 15.933
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+115); Under
Game 919-920: Baltimore at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Berken) 14.259; Toronto (Romero) 15.118
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Toronto (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-170); Over
Game 921-922: Minnesota at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Swarzak) 15.525; Detroit (Galarraga) 15.094
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Under
Game 923-924: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sowers) 15.897; White Sox (Buehrle) 17.297
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-200); Over
Game 925-926: Oakland at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Mazzaro) 13.724; Kansas City (Bannister) 14.912
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-130); Under
Game 927-928: Texas at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 14.486; LA Angels (Saunders) 17.460
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 3; 12 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-130); Over
Game 929-930: Tampa Bay at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.539; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.240
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-140); Over




WNBA Basketball Picks

Detroit at Washington

The Mystics look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against division opponents. Washington is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 7

Game 651-652: Detroit at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 106.828; Washington 114.761
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 8; 156
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 154
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4); Over
Game 653-654: Connecticut at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 113.524; Minnesota 111.144
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 2 1/2; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 155 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+2); Under
Game 655-656: New York at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: New York 105.926; Sacramento 113.072
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 7; 149 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 148
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-3); Over

 

[szlem]

Ben Burns' 2009 CFL GAME OF THE YEAR! ***6-0 L6 GOYs***
I'm playing on BC.

 

[Yanks]

SuperSPortsGroup (SSG)

NY M vs. San Diego

PICK: OVER 7.5 ev (7*)

 

[Yanks]

The Sports Investing Professional - Friday

Thursday Recap - Ok...things looking better...let's keep rolling through the
weekend...

Todays Play(s) - There are a few nice plays but at this time of the year some of the
favorites start to get crazy prices so we must utilize the runlines. St. Louis has been
playing well, scoring runs, and must take advantage of this softer part of their schedule.


MLB - St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-140) [LISTED] Carpenter / Maholm 1050.00 / 750.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional

Record (26-17) +$1079

 

[str8flush95]

Fastball - Best Bets

HOU over MIL
SF over CIN

 

[szlem]

You buy this pick?

Yes, paid and confirmed
BC Lions

 

[Yanks]

MLB Computer Picks

Toronto Blue Jays -200

Chicago White Sox -200 ***(Best Bet)

Los Angeles Dodgers -135

 

[Yanks]

Free Silver Key Pick for Friday ML Baseball


SAN FRANCISCO LINCECUM -R -1.5 Runs, -140 Over Cincinnati

 

[cork999]

Matt Rivers
1ST 200,000* OF THE BASEBALL SEASON Your winner here is on the Tampa Bay Rays!


Talk about getting the better team plus money!!!! WOW!

Sure Felix Hernandez is an absolute stud and a guy that can be lights out but Jeff Nieman has really come into his own and is no slouch at all. Then when you factor in how much better the Rays are in terms of pretty much everything else including the far superior lineup than I am all about the visitors today at Safeco.

Tampa may not be as good away from the Trop but this team is far from a club that is like the Twins who literally wet the bed outside of their dome. Joe Maddon's club can for sure win games on the highway and this will be another indication of just that. They just outclassed the Red Sox at home and are ready to do the same here to a clear inferior Seattle squad away from home.

Sure Seattle has had a nice little overachieving season and without a doubt Ichiro is a sick sick hitter. But besides the Japanese lefty and Russell Branyan who has had a career season the Mariners are sooo outclassed in this game. Adrian Beltre is back but so what, the guy really has not been all that good in a few years and now just getting healthy again makes him even less dangerous than the mediocre player he has become.

Crawford, Upton, Pena, Longoria and others form a lineup that is flat out nasty. The Rays may not crush Hernandez as the righthander can be filthy and should at least be good here but Tampa has a much better shot to plate runs then the fairly weak Seattle lineup has against a solid and definitely good enough Niemann.

If this game was a pick I would still love the Rays and that pretty much tells me all I need to know!

Plus money? Um, ok!



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND ME-----GL GUYS

 

[Bigcheez]

PlatinumPlays Win

Wash -115
Rockies -130
Over 7 Reds
Over 9 Whitesox
KC -135

Platinum Play of the Day
Toronto Runline

 

[cork999]

Tony Weston
FRIDAY'S PLAYS 30 Dime Red Sox

Analysis by 2:30 p.m. ET



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND ME----GL GUYS